Santa Maria vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SED
1 - 2
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CEI
3 - 0
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 4
BRA
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
LUZ
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
GAM
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LUZ
2 - 4
CEI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CEI
2 - 1
GAM
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CEI
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |