Saint Lucia vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AIA
1 - 2
LCA
10%
15%
76%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 1
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LCA
2 - 0
AIA
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 1
AIA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 0
DMA
10%
15%
76%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
DMA
3 - 1
VCT
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
DMA
2 - 1
VCT
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |