Santa Lucía vs Mosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SLU
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
SLI
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
SLU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 0
GUD
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAX
4 - 0
SLU
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 3
GZI
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
MOS
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
MOS
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |