Santa Gema vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 0
VIS
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 1
NYC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 2
GEM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 1
COS
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
GEM
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
TIE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
TIE
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TIE
3 - 1
VIS
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
TIE
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |