Santa Engracia vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Engracia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNC
2 - 5
SAN
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 0
DEP
22%
20%
59%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BIO
2 - 4
SAN
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
PIN
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGR
3 - 1
SAN
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AGR
40%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
BAR
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
PUY
44%
23%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LUN
3 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |