Santa Cruz UD vs Valenzuela AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 1
SCR
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
SCR
34%
24%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 0
TOB
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SCR
2 - 1
STO
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Valenzuela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
VAL
34%
23%
43%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
TOB
38%
22%
41%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POB
3 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
VRB
42%
22%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |