Santa Cruz RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
MEC
0 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RSI
1 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
POT
4 - 0
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POT
3 - 2
ARN
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
POT
3 - 0
CEN
35%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
CAM
6 - 2
POT
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |