Santa Cruz vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
COT
0 - 1
SAN
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1975 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CEB
0 - 0
SAN
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SAN
3 - 3
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1975 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
AME
2 - 0
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
MOT
1 - 3
GUA
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1975 |
FOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |