Santa Cruz vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 3
SAN
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUV
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
ABC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |