Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
85%
11%
3%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
8%
19%
73%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
CON
43%
25%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
23%
25%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
18%
24%
59%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
BOT
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |