Série C Brazil Group A Round 6

Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis

Santa Cruz Botafogo PB
63 ELO 61
4.1% Tilt -7.1%
3243º General ELO ranking 1231º
86º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Santa Cruz
24.6%
Draw
18%
Botafogo PB

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Santa Cruz
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santa Cruz
+24%
-8%
Botafogo PB

ELO progression

Santa Cruz
Botafogo PB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2018
GLO
Globo
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
18%
26%
57%
63 46 17 0
05 May. 2018
REM
Remo
0 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
33%
28%
39%
64 57 7 -1
02 May. 2018
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
35%
25%
40%
65 62 3 -1
28 Apr. 2018
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 0
ABC
ABC
53%
25%
22%
65 62 3 0
22 Apr. 2018
SAN
Santa Cruz
3 - 1
Atlético Acreano
ATL
76%
16%
8%
64 44 20 +1

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2018
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 3
Remo
REM
60%
23%
17%
61 57 4 0
06 May. 2018
ABC
ABC
2 - 0
Botafogo PB
BOT
48%
28%
24%
62 62 0 -1
04 May. 2018
BAH
Bahía
0 - 0
Botafogo PB
BOT
80%
15%
6%
62 80 18 0
01 May. 2018
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 0
Confiança
CON
56%
24%
20%
61 58 3 +1
27 Apr. 2018
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 2
Bahía
BAH
23%
26%
51%
61 79 18 0