Santa Cruz vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 3
FLO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
AFO
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 1
VCR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |