Santa Cruz vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAN
12%
21%
68%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
REM
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 4
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |