Santa Cruz vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 2
MAN
90%
8%
2%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 4
SAN
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 1
ACA
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
4 - 4
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACA
4 - 1
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
YPI
4 - 1
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |