Santa Cruz PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ZAL
4%
11%
85%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
LUC
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
AUT
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |