Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Sant Julià vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 1
SJU
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 2
SCO
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
5 - 0
PRI
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 0
LUS
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 3
TFI
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |