Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 0-4
Sant Julià vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
SJU
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SCO
3 - 1
SJU
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SJU
1 - 3
UES
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
SJU
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 2
SCO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
HÄC
1 - 1
RAN
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
OBK
0 - 2
RAN
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
RAN
1 - 1
BIF
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
SIF
0 - 2
RAN
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 1
HOB
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |