Sant Julià vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
8º
8º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
SJU
2 - 2
INT
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 2
SJU
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UES
0 - 0
SJU
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
INT
4 - 1
SJU
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SJU
1 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
UEE
2 - 3
PEN
28%
20%
52%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 2
LAM
43%
22%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
UEE
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAM
0 - 1
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |