Copa Constitució Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sant Julià vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SJU
12 - 0
UEE
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UEE
0 - 7
SJU
8%
14%
78%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SJU
0 - 1
UES
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 0
SJU
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SJU
2 - 4
LUS
49%
23%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCO
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 2
LUS
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
SCO
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SJU
2 - 4
LUS
49%
23%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |