Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 0-9
Sant Julià vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
CVA
4 - 0
SJU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
SJU
6 - 1
LUS
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SJU
6 - 1
FCR
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SJU
3 - 0
FCR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SJU
2 - 4
LUS
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
CVA
4 - 0
SJU
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VID
0 - 3
CVA
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
CVA
0 - 1
LOV
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CVA
0 - 0
SVA
63%
24%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
CVA
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |