Sant Josep vs Ibiza I. Pitiusas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points