Sanremese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOR
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GOZ
1 - 2
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ARC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
PRO
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
DER
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
SES
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 3
SAM
2%
9%
89%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | +1 |