Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
3º
30
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
24.5% | 2% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
24% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 2
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
SUW
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SUW
3 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
DAE
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAN
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 1
ULS
45%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ULS
1 - 2
GAN
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DAE
0 - 1
ULS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ULS
0 - 0
FCS
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ULS
2 - 3
DCI
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |