Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
6º
3º
15
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 53 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 52 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 50 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 45 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 38 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
80.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
5 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
JEO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
ULS
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 3
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
DAE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POH
1 - 0
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
4 - 2
GAN
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 0
FCS
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |