Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
SHI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
KAW
3 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
AVI
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAG
2 - 1
JUB
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 3
NAG
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
NAG
19%
28%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
NAG
2 - 1
KAA
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |