J1 League Round 29

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Kashiwa Reysol
79 ELO 80
10.4% Tilt 8.5%
409º General ELO ranking 424º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
44.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24.8%
Draw
31.1%
Kashiwa Reysol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
+18%
+22%
Kashiwa Reysol

ELO progression

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kashiwa Reysol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
YFM
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
39%
26%
35%
79 77 2 0
29 Sep. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
60%
22%
18%
79 73 6 0
22 Sep. 2012
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
52%
24%
24%
78 81 3 +1
15 Sep. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 - 1
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
48%
26%
26%
78 80 2 0
08 Sep. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 2
Imabari
FCI
86%
10%
4%
78 49 29 0

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
2 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
50%
25%
25%
80 82 2 0
10 Oct. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
77%
15%
8%
80 63 17 0
06 Oct. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 0
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
47%
24%
29%
79 79 0 +1
29 Sep. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Urawa Reds
URA
56%
24%
21%
80 78 2 -1
22 Sep. 2012
SAG
Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
24%
25%
51%
80 72 8 0