Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
URA
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAA
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
SHI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
OMI
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
2 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 3
URA
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 0
SHI
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
ALB
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |