Sancolombano vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancolombano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 0
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 0
VAO
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 1
VOG
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAD
1 - 0
SAC
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SES
0 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
SET
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RAB
3 - 0
NOV
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAO
1 - 0
NOV
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |