Naft Abadan vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
16º
14º
47
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 0
SAN
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAF
60%
26%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SAN
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SPF
0 - 1
SAN
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
AAK
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MES
2 - 1
SPF
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FOO
0 - 0
MES
44%
30%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MES
0 - 0
AAK
51%
28%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
MES
0 - 0
GOH
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |