San Severo vs Herculaneum 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SSE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
RPO
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 0
SSM
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
4 - 1
SSE
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 0
SSE
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 0
CYN
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
3 - 1
AVH
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 0
GEL
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 1
AVH
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |