CF Sant Rafel vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Sant Rafel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SRF
2 - 0
CDS
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UDR
1 - 3
SRF
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SRF
4 - 0
ALC
39%
27%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BNS
0 - 0
SRF
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SRF
1 - 1
LLO
18%
24%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ESP
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDS
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
UDR
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 3
BNS
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |