CA San Miguel vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LAM
2 - 0
SMG
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SMG
0 - 0
COL
34%
28%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 0
SMG
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SMG
3 - 0
DOC
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LAF
1 - 1
SMG
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VSC
1 - 1
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
VSC
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ARR
1 - 3
VSC
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VSC
2 - 1
LAM
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
COL
2 - 3
VSC
57%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |