CA San Miguel vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARQ
1 - 0
SMG
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SMG
0 - 0
ACA
26%
31%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VSC
1 - 2
SMG
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SMG
0 - 1
COM
29%
30%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SMG
0 - 0
COL
45%
29%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
0 - 2
JJU
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AND
1 - 0
CAD
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
STM
1 - 2
CAD
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 0
ARM
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |