San Mateo vs Cariño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
67.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
XCA
1 - 1
MAT
51%
20%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 1
NAR
24%
21%
55%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAT
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
EST
5 - 2
MAT
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
MON
56%
20%
25%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
NAR
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 6
CAR
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 2
CAR
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |