San Martín Tucumán vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARG
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAU
3 - 0
SMA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAU
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 0
SLO
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DAL
2 - 0
INS
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 0
DAL
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DAL
4 - 4
GIM
48%
29%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAL
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 3
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |