San Marino Calcio vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 6
USC
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
47%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |