San Marcos Arica vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 3
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
EVE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
NTA
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
NTA
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
NTA
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -2 |