San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
SLO
3 - 0
VIA
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 0
SLO
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
GLP
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
GOD
1 - 0
SAR
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
MER
87%
11%
3%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 1
SAR
53%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |