San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLO
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 2
SLO
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
SLO
2 - 0
INS
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
SLO
22%
26%
51%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 0
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
NOB
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 0
QUI
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |