San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1969 |
BAN
1 - 1
SLO
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SLO
2 - 1
BOC
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLO
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1969 |
SLO
0 - 1
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VEL
2 - 2
SLO
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1969 |
CEN
1 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
41%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CEN
0 - 0
BOC
46%
30%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ATL
2 - 2
CEN
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |