San Jose Earthquakes vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SJE
2 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
SES
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
SJE
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CFS
3 - 2
SJE
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SJE
3 - 2
GAL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
SES
2 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
PHU
3 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
CHI
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
DAL
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |