San Gregorio Arrabal vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gregorio Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
PED
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FUE
4 - 3
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CDM
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LAA
0 - 0
UDM
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
4 - 0
GAL
71%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 2
UDM
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
CFB
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EPI
2 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |