San Francisco vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
11º
11º
27
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 3
COS
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 1
SFF
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
AZU
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 2
IND
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
SFF
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMI
20%
28%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 2
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
SMI
33%
31%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
TAU
44%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |