San Francisco vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
10º
1º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
SFF
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AFC
39%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 0
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
SFF
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 3
TAU
36%
29%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IND
5 - 1
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |