San Francisco II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 1
SFF
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
OES
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
SFF
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OES
3 - 1
SFF
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 1
IDC
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAP
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
IDC
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
IDC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
UFC
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |