San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CSC
5 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
SAP
4 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SAP
2 - 4
CSH
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 1
SAP
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LDA
0 - 1
SAP
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SAP
2 - 0
CFS
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |