San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
6º
4º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
MUN
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PER
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LDA
0 - 0
MUN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 1
LDA
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSH
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CSH
3 - 0
LDA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |