San Bernardo vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San
Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 0
PUE
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ENT
1 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDG
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FED
2 - 0
OLV
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 4
FED
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FED
8 - 2
PRA
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
FED
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FED
3 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |