Samtredia vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
TEL
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOR
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TBI
3 - 2
SAM
16%
18%
67%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
FTK
2 - 1
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
GOR
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FTK
1 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 4
LOK
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 0
NOR
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAB
0 - 0
NOR
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |