Sampedrense vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampedrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAV
2 - 0
SAM
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
VIS
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
3 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 1
GDP
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAM
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
LAM
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
PEN
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNI
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
PEN
55%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |